Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 48.429474 54.453455 60.730806 67.743008 75.339883 83.304371 92.268044
2024-10-27 37.042650 45.506679 54.889159 65.983347 78.663592 92.626240 109.082965
2024-11-03 32.891410 42.882387 54.417782 68.560937 85.269442 104.217793 127.161912
2024-11-10 29.238568 40.198912 53.315185 69.904839 90.055474 113.468475 142.444848
2024-11-17 25.727288 37.195035 51.385545 69.851512 92.846407 120.141319 154.568816
2024-11-24 23.992100 36.195201 51.724421 72.409524 98.690452 130.420887 171.044003
2024-12-01 21.457554 33.862765 50.118126 72.295711 101.051391 136.364480 182.245140
2024-12-08 18.979660 31.350861 48.043747 71.361417 102.196411 140.683200 191.389277
2024-12-15 17.157573 29.575928 46.792162 71.361064 104.428285 146.298804 202.140964
2024-12-22 15.557080 27.965352 45.626211 71.350911 106.554626 151.733064 212.672518
2024-12-29 14.956365 27.790753 46.437784 74.031074 112.273992 161.853248 229.298663
2025-01-05 13.902190 26.816360 46.016092 74.926866 115.555256 168.809708 241.919847
2025-01-12 12.802483 25.705515 45.362855 75.507594 118.482480 175.452079 254.394391
2025-01-19 11.182937 23.594196 43.074351 73.609361 117.888568 177.371361 260.696799
2025-01-26 10.834177 23.589800 43.989161 76.402533 123.899318 188.221591 278.920028
2025-02-02 10.213981 23.053022 44.025340 77.859053 128.014421 196.543151 293.870245
2025-02-09 9.331129 21.960930 43.101484 77.801238 129.916050 201.833280 304.793093
2025-02-16 9.083522 22.011596 44.019479 80.571610 135.955387 212.896134 323.638766
2025-02-23 8.309112 20.993263 43.107679 80.448390 137.724779 218.031571 334.471075
2025-03-02 7.450086 19.719805 41.681857 79.436736 138.116890 221.205310 342.620674
2025-03-09 6.835708 18.870257 40.922745 79.436354 139.987143 226.456864 353.663131
2025-03-16 6.272054 18.064777 40.186032 79.425359 141.812658 231.643124 364.650943
2025-03-23 6.175220 18.247636 41.213025 82.326748 148.126587 243.329122 384.823418